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America
is rapidly approaching a turning point, scheduled to arrive on November
2 when voters choose the President, and elect Senators and members of
Congress. Whether George W. Bush is re-elected or John F. Ferry is
chosen President, there will be a profound change. The social structure
of America, reflected in the national leadership, has been under the
most intense stress since the War Between the States. It’s like the
recently active Mount Saint Helen, where the magma has been rising
within the cauldron, and may soon explode. Some
think the better analogy is to consider America at a tipping point, when
current societal alignments and national policy orientations could be
radically shifted. We will select the kind of America we desire when we
vote, and the outcome will either ratify that choice, or reject it. The
middle, muddled ground of the past 25 years has almost vanished. What,
then, can we expect? If
Senator Kerry wins and, as expected, Congress remains tenuously held by
the Republicans, we can still expect significant change. The GOP
leadership in both the House and Senate is soft, temperate, and easily
seduced. They like to spend money, and like it even better if the
President of the opposing party can be blamed. A President Kerry will
accommodate them, as has President Bush.
President
Kerry will quicken the withdrawal from Iraq and all other bases in the
Middle East and Central Asia. This will generate immense savings of U.S.
tax dollars. He will use the financial harvest for investment in
expanded social programs, rather than maintaining a strong U.S. military
presence in the volatile Middle East or elsewhere. The Defense
Department will languish, though the atrophying of American military
muscle will go unnoticed by American voters for many years. China will
notice. A
President Kerry will have the opportunity to appoint four (4) justices
of the U.S. Supreme Court and alter the ideological balance on several
of the significant Courts of Appeal. The GOP will stage challenges and
indulge in pantomimes of protest against ‘activist’ nominees to
assuage interest groups, but, at the end of the day, they will do little
else. All Kerry appointees will be confirmed. America
will then experience a drawn-out, but steady and relentless, quiet
constitutional convention, rewriting the original document by Judicial
fiat, rather than through the amendment process specified in the
Constitution. Changes to quickly expect would be recognition of gay
marriage, unlimited abortion (on-demand at any stage, even partial
birth), and illegal alien citizenship rights (including voting). The
immigration floodgates, which President Bush and the timid GOP have been
fearful of closing, will remain open and the influx will provide solid
Democrat majorities in several ‘battleground’ states for generations
to come. It will be over
for the GOP as a national party because the Republicans cannot outspend
or out-promise Democrats, though the Class of ’94 tried to do that. Internationally,
Kerry will be celebrated in Europe. His initial tour of France and
Germany will be like the Homecoming of a Liberator. When he visits
Russia, following the announcement of American withdrawal from Iraq, he
will be joyfully greeted. The most significant change will be seen in
the Middle East, especially when he follows the Iraq announcements with
a warning to Israel that U.S. support will be drastically curtailed. There
will be four (4) years of international peace and the American economy,
rebuilt by Bush 43, will provide a robust ride to the new President,
just as the economic restructuring done by Bush 41 gave Bill Clinton a
cushion for eight (8) years, despite added tax burdens. The Bush tax
cuts will remain in place if the economy surges and generates greater
than anticipated revenues. Congressional pork and entitlement program
spending will surge, again. Military investment will stagnate, even as
China continues its accelerated build-up, despite the sham protestations
of the Kerry Administration. Arabs
will confirm the capture and killing of Osama bin Laden, who some will
suggest has been dead since 2003. Kerry will declare victory in the war
on terror, proclaiming ‘Mission Really Accomplished’. There will be
an unwritten understanding between America and the current despots in
the Middle East: we will abandon Israel and cease pursuit of Al Quaeda
operatives, if America is not attacked. This bargain will be accepted,
though the Islamo-facist infestation of western nations will continue,
and actually expand, like a cancer. As a
bonus, the Arabs will maximize oil output to ease the drag of higher
energy costs on the U.S. economy, and also for the purpose of killing
any financial incentive for American investments in alternative energy
sources. That will be the price for a truce of four (4) years, to secure
Kerry’s re-election in 2008. Of course, cheap gas will lead to
continued use of gas-guzzling cars by many Americans, who will no longer
care about the country’s dependence on foreign sources.
To
satisfy the eco-wing of the Democrat party and stifle any Green Party
uprising, Kerry will continue to assail SUVs and pledge larger amounts
of federal funds for hydrogen fuel research than Bush did. The Greenies
will be ecstatic when President Kerry announces American support for the
Kyoto protocols, despite the whines of American manufacturers. Who will
care that America has become a service economy, so long as there is
cheap gas, ample tax revenues, and nobody is getting killed by crazy
Arabs? The GOP
will indulge all of this because, most importantly, they will continue
to be re-elected, at least until 2008. That is when the full impact of
the Republican appeasement will be evident to the average voter. There
will be a civil war within the party as it searches for the remnants of
its soul. The ’94 crowd will be ousted and new leadership will emerge,
though the fate of the country will be sealed. The
America we knew will be gone. Some
will shed a bitter tear, but most will not even notice, certainly not
the left-wing indoctrinators that have secured their grip of the
education system that inculcates the next generation to secure Kerry’s
legacy.
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